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Stephen McClure's avatar

Great reflexive piece. You take a sober position on the fascist threat unlike some who would overstate or understate it. Electing Harris in November would deny the white Christian nationalists access to the levers of state power at the federal level. The problem however, will still remain at the state and local scales.

MAGA serves as a transmission belt connecting fascist networks to a mass base in a society where civil society institutions and civic associations have been in retreat, especially during the pandemic years.

National outfits like Turning Point or Virginia Dare are 501(c)3 and 501(c)4 organizations with electoral agendas loosely coupled with ALEC and suit and tie protofascist and white nationalist think tanks like American Renaissance.

There are also celluar networks operating below the radar in online spaces. These cells and lone wolves could act as extralegal policing agents doing the wet work legal above board groups could not.

The overlaps between active duty military, vets, and police have been documented. The number of vets or military personel in a given area is one indicator of areas most attactive to certain types of groups seeking recruits with combat experience.

The SPLC has done a remarkable job of tracking extremism for decades. Using this spatial-temporal database of extremists and documented hate crimes, one can conclude that fascist groups are fragmented and divided along geographic and ideological lines as well as tactical approaches and goals. They also do not last long.

The data also show that the number of fascist outfits in an area is population dependent but correlated independently to other factors.

Using point level data for hate groups and hate crimes in an abstract scalar grid, we found that 40% of hate crimes were colocated with hate groups at a scale of about twenty miles, when controlling for other variables.

My takeaway from this is that antifascists need to monitor and document hate crime activities in thier areas of interest and must understand what extremist actors are out there stirring the pot, recruiting, or whatever.

Using an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) with 144 variables, the SPLC hate crime data, and the state level DoJ hate crime data for validation, we identified places and zones where extremist violence linked to hate groups could be anticipated.

These areas are along the borderlands of the colorline , in the peripheries and peri-urban zones of the megaregions and economic corridors where the colorline is drawn.

Hate crimes are kissing cousins to terrorism. Research has shown that more often than not, perps travel to symbolic high profile targets, unlike hate crimes that tend to be localized and generally involve property destruction rather that physical violence.

The point is that socialists must engage in social investigation, apply the mass line, unite all who can be united and seek truth from facts. At the same time praxis is the criteron of truth. Fascists are part of the political landscape especially in areas of contentious political struggle and must be understood.

Looking forward to watching an important conversation.

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